Forecasting Maternal Mortality For Belarus Using The Multilayer Perceptron

Abstract

This research article employs annual time series data on MMR for Belarusfrom 1985 to 2023 to predict future trends of MMR over the period 2024 to 2035. The forecast evaluation criteria of the applied model indicate that the ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable. The neural network model projections revealed that MMR will remain very low throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage the government to address local causes of avoidable maternal deaths and direct more effort on the surveillance of severe maternal morbidity at all levels of the healthcare system.